Wednesday, 18 June 2014

From Sun, Sand and Sea to Shopping, Sightseeing and Sex

Emerging vs. Traditional Markets – How do they Differ?


The global travel and tourism industry is changing rapidly and radically.  The key drivers of change are the new demanding customers, on the demand side, and information technologies (IT), on the supply side.  Information Technologies – from the mobile phones to the Internet and Facebook – have taken the travel and tourism industry by storm.  These technologies are happily facilitating production economies of flexible, segmented and individual holidays. But it is really the customers that are driving the changing face of the travel and tourism industry, through key demographic, psychographic and geographic influences.  Many traditional travel markets are experiencing maturity.  Plus, their populations are aging. This means that it would become increasingly difficult to compete in these markets.  The key emerging markets, also known as the BRIC economies (Brazil, Russia, India and China) – are now witnessing strong growth and new wealth, is the new hope for future travel growth.  Emerging markets will drive the growth of international arrivals from 1,035 million in 2013 to a forecasted 1.8 billion by 2030.

Emerging markets are completely different from the traditional markets.  The top three traditional travel markets are the US, Germany and the UK.  These markets have been the backbone of travel and tourism for decades and account for 20% of global travel demand.  Emerging or BRIC economies (Brazil, Russia, India and China) are the new kids on the block and are shaking up the travel and tourism sector.  Already, these markets account for 12% of total international arrivals.

But how do these new markets compare with the mainstream ones?  Firstly, the traditional travel markets are experiencing slow growth in outbound travel.  Markets such as Germany and the UK have been experiencing growth rates between -1 and +3 per cent on average over the past ten years (2004 – 2013).  However, emerging markets have been experiencing double-digit growth.  China and India for example have been growing on average between 10-12%.

Figure 1

Traditional and Emerging Markets Compared

Source: Tourism Intelligence International,  2014

Second, traditional markets are experienced and mature travel markets. The 'new' travellers are young and curious about travel.  But the comparison goes even beyond travel experience.  Emerging markets are comparatively younger than the traditional travel markets.  The respective populations of India and Brazil for example, each has an average age of 25.1 and 29 years. For China it’s 34.5 years.  The population of the traditional markets of Germany and the UK each has an average age of 44 and 39 years respectively.  There is a 19 year age gap between Germany and India.



Travellers from the traditional markets have been accustomed to wealth.  Many of the more mature travellers have inherited their wealth and travelled because they simply could.  The new travellers have earned their wealth and it is relatively novel to them.  They see travel as social currency – the more they travel the wealthier they feel.

Traditional Western markets have travelled in search of warm weather.  They lusted after the sun, sand and sea.  Emerging markets have a different take on travel.  They are looking for other “S”s.  They want shopping, sightseeing and opportunities to gain status / social recognition and of course like all travellers, they are looking for sex.  This is especially the case in China with its one child policy where female foetuses were destroyed in favour of the male sex.  Now that the males have grown up, there is a real shortage of females.








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Wednesday, 4 June 2014

Emerging Markets - A Force to Reckon With


Emerging Markets are A Key Economic Force


The emerging markets are an economic force to reckon with.  Emerging and developing markets on a whole, account for 47.7% of world GDP at purchasing power parity.  China is ranked as the 2nd largest world economy after the USA.  India, Russia and Brazil rank 4th, 6th, and 8th respectively.  

Emerging markets have significant growth potential for travel and tourism.  China for instance, has a population size of 1.3 billion citizens.  However, only 4% of the total population travelled abroad in 2013.  Similarly, a mere 1% of the Indian population travelled abroad in 2013.  Both China and India are growing by an average of 10-12% per year.  On the contrary, the traditional markets are primarily saturated.  Germany for instance, has a travel base of almost 80% of its population and has stagnant growth prospects.   China is now the number 1 travel market in the world ahead of USA, Germany and the UK.

Who are the Emerging Market Travellers?

With international travellers projected to almost double by 2020 to approximately 1.6 billion, the most significant increases are expected to take place in markets like China, India, Brazil and Russia. These markets are often referred to as “emerging markets”.


Travellers from the emerging markets are wealthy

But who are these new travellers?  Firstly, they are wealthy.  In Spite of the recession in 2008/2009 the number of millionaires in India jumped by 20.8% (the highest in the world). China had the fourth richest millionaire in the world in 2013 and added 5% more millionaires than the average for the USA, Japan and Germany, according to Merrill Lynch’s World Wealth Report.  The middle class in emerging markets is also growing apace. 




They are young, hip and happening too

Emerging market travellers are also comparatively younger than the top traditional travel markets.  The population of South Africa and India respectively, has an average age of 24.7 and 25.1 years.  Brazil’s population base is slightly older with an average age of 29 years, followed by the UAE (30.1 years) and China (34.5 years).  The populations of the traditional travel markets of Japan, Germany and the UK each has an average age of 45, 44 and 39 years respectively. 


These new travellers are also educated


Travellers from the emerging markets are also very educated. India has the 2nd highest number of individuals with tertiary level education (124.4 million).  China captured the 3rd place with just over 100 million.  Russia is in 4th place with 91 million.


They are Internet savvy


They are also very Internet savvy.  The use of the Internet to research, plan and book travel is quite a common occurrence for emerging markets.  The sheer number of online users is absolutely astounding. The Internet user population from the emerging markets, make up approximately 40% of the 2.4 billion Internet users worldwide, according to Internet World Stats 2014.  China leads with 538 million, followed by India (137 million), Brazil (88.5 million) and Russia (68 million).


They seek status from travel abroad


Many citizens of emerging markets, who are of means, enjoy the status that international travel brings and are quick to boast about their trips to their colleagues.  Culturally, there is social currency in international travel and this is a significant driver for outbound travel.






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